New-home sales fall again in July

South, Arkansas show gains while rest of nation slumps

A cabinet specialist adjusts doors on a pantry of a Tresana model home at the Toll Brothers Inc. Jupiter Country Club housing development in Jupiter, Florida, U.S., on Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2014. The U.S. Census Bureau is scheduled to release new home sales data on Aug. 25. Photographer: Mark Elias/Bloomberg
A cabinet specialist adjusts doors on a pantry of a Tresana model home at the Toll Brothers Inc. Jupiter Country Club housing development in Jupiter, Florida, U.S., on Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2014. The U.S. Census Bureau is scheduled to release new home sales data on Aug. 25. Photographer: Mark Elias/Bloomberg

New-home sales in the U.S. fell unexpectedly in July for the second month, evidence that the housing sector continues to struggle.

The Commerce Department said Monday that new-home sales fell 2.4 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 412,000. The report also revised up the June sales rate to 422,000 from 406,000.

"It's a little bit disappointing," said Thomas Simons, an economist at Jefferies LLC in New York. "The new-home sales data have no traction whatsoever and doesn't seem to be gaining at all."

New-home sales plunged 30.8 percent in the Northeast, followed by smaller drop-offs in the Midwest and West. Purchases were up 8.1 percent in the South, a region that usually accounts for more than half of all new-home sales.

Home sales in Arkansas, including new and previously owned homes in 43 counties, jumped 10 percent in June, compared with June 2013, the Arkansas Realtors Association said Friday.

Inventory of new homes on the market rose to six months, a level last reached in October 2011. The median price of a new home last month was $269,800, up 2.9 percent over the past 12 months.

But the steady rebound in construction coming out of the recession has stalled. Sales lost much of their momentum beginning last October, derailed by modest wage growth, a bump in mortgage rates and many builders focusing more on rental apartments and high-end homes for wealthier buyers.

The monthly sales data can be extremely volatile, yet the trend line shows that the market for new homes is "running in place," said Richard Moody, chief economist at Regions Financial.

"The sales rate basically has not budged over the past ten months," Moody said.

The Monday sales data dampened enthusiasm over other recent reports that the pace of buying has recently improved.

"This is a softer report than expected and suggests housing demand has stabilized in recent quarters, as opposed to improving," said Michael Gapen, an analyst at the bank Barclays.

Sales of previoulsy owned homes rose 2.4 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.15 million, the National Association of Realtors reported last week. That's the fourth consecutive monthly increase and the highest annual rate since September.

The report showed that "distressed" sales are making up a lower share of purchases. Sales are distressed when they are the result of foreclosures or involve homes for which the seller owed more on the mortgage than the home was worth.

Distressed sales accounted for 9 percent of the purchases in July -- the lowest share since the association began tracking the figure in October 2008. Distressed sales, which tend to drag down neighborhood prices, accounted for 36 percent of sales in 2009.

Separately, construction starts climbed 15.7 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.1 million homes, the government said. Applications for building permits, a gauge of future activity, also rose last month.

But much of the construction gains came from the apartments sector, which experienced a 33 percent increase last month. By contrast, single-family home construction rose 8.3 percent.

Price gains have started to slow and mortgage rates have dropped since the start of 2014. That could eventually help increase sales.

And the average rate for a 30-year mortgage fell to 4.1 percent this week, the lowest level this year, according to Freddie Mac, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. At the beginning of the year, the average rate was 4.53 percent.

Builders and their suppliers see room for growth as the job market improves. As foreclosures and other distressed property sales become a smaller share of the market, housing growth will accelerate, said Robert A. Niblock, chairman and chief executive officer of home-improvement chain Lowe's Cos., based in Mooresville, N.C.

"Signals from the housing market appear mixed," Niblock said Wednesday during an earnings call. "We believe home-improvement spending will continue to progress in tandem with strengthening job and income growth."

The National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo's index of builder sentiment rose in August to 55, up two points from a revised 53 for July. Readings above 50 indicate more builders view sales conditions as improving.

Information for this article was contributed by Josh Boak of The Associated Press and Lorraine Woellert and Chris Middleton of Bloomberg News.

Business on 08/26/2014

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