Strong dollar, few fines boost trade gap

An empty container ship sits high in the water last month at the Port of Seattle. The U.S. trade deficit rose to $100.3 billion in the third quarter, according to reports.
An empty container ship sits high in the water last month at the Port of Seattle. The U.S. trade deficit rose to $100.3 billion in the third quarter, according to reports.

WASHINGTON -- The U.S. current account trade deficit widened slightly in the July-September quarter, largely because of foreign institutions paying less in fines and penalties to the U.S. government.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday that the deficit in the current account rose to $100.3 billion in the third quarter, up 1.9 percent from a revised $98.4 billion deficit in the April-June period.

The median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey called for the deficit to shrink to $97.5 billion from the previously reported unrevised $98.5 billion.

The increase occurred despite a drop in the trade deficit for goods and services, reflecting cheaper oil prices and a stronger dollar.

The deficit widened because fines collected by the U.S. government from foreign institutions fell to $27.8 billion from $40.1 billion in the previous quarter, a 31 percent decrease. In the April-June period, the government had fined the French bank BNP Paribas $9 billion for violating sanctions against Iran, Sudan and Cuba.

The current account is the broadest measure of trade, covering not only the flow of goods and services but also investment flows. It faces downward pressure because the dollar has increased in value relative to other currencies and oil prices have fallen by almost 50 percent since June.

The average price of a barrel of oil has dropped below $56 from a summer high of $107. That reflects weakening global demand as Japan tumbles into a recession, Europe staves off a slowdown, China's economy loses momentum and Russia copes with its collapsing currency. But U.S. consumers have largely been insulated from these pressures and benefited from less expensive oil.

At the same time, the global slowdown has caused more investors to crowd into the dollar as a relative safe haven. The dollar appreciated 7.1 percent against other major currencies during the July-September quarter.

The current account is still relatively low by historical standards. The quarterly deficits regularly topped $150 billion in the four years before the recession of 2007-2009.

Information for this article was contributed by Shobhana Chandra of Bloomberg News.

Business on 12/18/2014

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