TALLADEGA, Ala. -- Chase Elliott has been inching toward his first career Sprint Cup victory all year, only to come up short time and time again.
He needs it to come Sunday at Talladega Superspeedway, where anything but a victory will likely eliminate the rookie phenom from NASCAR's playoffs.
There have been five times this year that Elliott has finished second or third. He's been inside the top five a total of nine times. He might have even won at Charlotte Motor Speedway two weeks ago until he wrecked. Then a tire problem at Kansas dropped him to last in the Chase for the Sprint Cup standings and on the edge of elimination.
"We are obviously disappointed in the way the past two weeks have gone, having such strong cars," Elliott said Friday. "But it puts us in a pretty simplistic situation for this weekend."
The third and final race of this leg of the Chase will trim the title contenders from 12 to eight, and Jimmie Johnson and Kevin Harvick already have spots locked down. There are no guarantees for the remaining six spots, as drivers have come to Talladega the last two years in good position only to be bounced out after a bad day at the superspeedway.
At the bottom of the standings along with Elliott are Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin, who raced for the title two years ago, and Brad Keselowski, who was in a must-win situation at Talladega two years ago and got the victory needed to advance to the third round.
Also in shaky position: Joey Logano, who won all three races in the second round last year, and Martin Truex Jr., winner of two races in the first round this season but suddenly is one sub-par day away from being bounced out of the Chase.
Truex made it to the championship round a year ago and didn't seem too stressed about his chances Friday. He's sixth in the standings.
"You just go race, see what happens," Truex said. "We're either going to make it or we're not. Worrying about it, thinking about scenarios, what do you have to do? All those things, it doesn't do anybody any good."
Elliott is realistic about his chances. He finished third in two of the first three Chase races and soared into the second round behind improved performance from Hendrick Motorsports. Then he led 103 laps at Charlotte, only to be caught in an accident that wasn't his fault. He finished 33rd and then 31st at Kansas.
Typically very hard on himself after a poor finish, Elliott was encouraged by how well his Hendrick Motorsports team has been running. He said he believes he can race his way into the third round -- and race for the championship.
"I 100 percent think if we can advance through this weekend, I without a doubt feel like we can be a contender," Elliott said. "If you don't feel that way, you need to go home."
Truex is a very good restrictor-plate racer, and finished second to de facto teammate Hamlin in the Daytona 500 as the Toyota camp had the right strategy. He'll try to be smart again on Sunday rather than risk his title chances after moving to the top of the list of favorites at the start of the Chase. Truex has three victories in the last seven races and his Furniture Row Racing team has been one of the most consistent this year.
It is his intent to race toward the front all day and not drift back into the pack -- a strategy some drivers use in an effort to stay far behind accidents. Truex believes that's a risky plan.
"The closer you are to the front, the better your odds are of getting through a wreck if it happens," he said. "I've been crashed riding around in the back trying to stay out of trouble."
Sports on 10/22/2016