Europe bank steady on stimulus

Nations urged to do more; bond-buying, rates unchanged

Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (center), and Vitor Constancio, the central bank’s vice president (left), arrive Thursday for a news conference in Frankfurt, Germany.
Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (center), and Vitor Constancio, the central bank’s vice president (left), arrive Thursday for a news conference in Frankfurt, Germany.

FRANKFURT, Germany -- The European Central Bank left its stimulus measures on hold Thursday and warned governments in the 19-country euro currency union that they need to do more to help the economy grow and push up inflation to healthier levels.

The bank kept its key interest rates unchanged and decided against extending the duration of its existing bond-buying stimulus program.

Bank President Mario Draghi seemed relatively confident about the economy and less inclined to hint at more stimulus than some analysts had expected.

Instead, he used his news conference to urge governments to do their part.

He said that implementation of "structural reforms" -- steps to make economies more business- and growth-friendly -- "needs to be substantially stepped up to reduce structural unemployment and boost potential output growth."

He added that eurozone governments that have the capacity to spend more on investments in infrastructure should do so. He said in particular that Germany, the eurozone's biggest economy, "has fiscal space" to act.

Draghi's urgings have so far largely been ignored by governments, led by Germany, that have tended to focus instead on reducing deficits. They have also been slow to heed calls to cut bureaucracy and special protections for favored professions and trades.

In his effort to underline governments' responsibilities, Draghi read from this week's joint statement issued by the Group of 20 rich and developing nations in which they said they were ready to use "all policy tools -- monetary, fiscal and structural" to improve growth.

"What the ECB can do is to flag what is needed for monetary policy to be even more effective," Draghi said. He added that the G-20 statement represented governments, not central bankers, calling it "quite a powerful statement of commitment."

Several analysts said that despite Draghi's more confident tone, the European Central Bank would eventually have to take more stimulus action at its October or December meetings.

"Price pressures remain extremely weak and if growth continues at slow quarterly rates of 0.3 percent or less, as the business surveys now suggest, the ECB will struggle to meet its medium-term inflation goal," Jennifer McKeown, senior European economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a research note.

One reason to wait may be the need for time to plan an expansion of the kinds of financial assets the central bank can buy as part of its bond-buying stimulus program. There are concerns that the program may run out of high-quality government and corporate bonds to buy.

The central bank faces stubbornly low annual inflation of only 0.2 percent despite pumping $1.1 trillion in newly printed money into the banking system through bond purchases since March 2015. The purchases, made at a rate of $90 billion a month, are set to continue at least through March 2017 or until inflation convincingly picks up.

The bank left that earliest end date unchanged. Some analysts thought the bank might commit to a longer program.

The central bank's 25-member governing council also left its benchmark rate at zero and its rate on deposits from commercial banks at minus 0.4 percent.

The central bank's decision to hold off more stimulus saw European stocks dip, while the euro rose, gaining 0.2 percent on the day to $1.1265.

Draghi seemed relatively confident about the eurozone's modest recovery, saying the bank's outlook was for growth "at a moderate but steady pace." He also said the bank's low rates were being more effectively transmitted through the banks and credit markets, meaning more effective stimulus.

Business on 09/09/2016

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