It says something about the state of European politics that the Dutch election results are widely seen as cause for celebration. Geert Wilders—a far-right populist who makes Donald Trump look like a cautious centrist—did worse than expected. But he was by no means crushed, and the anger Wilders and his ilk are channeling is still there.
In due course Prime Minister Mark Rutte will be able to form a new coalition government. (These things take time in the Netherlands.) But his center-right party has lost seats and had to tack to the populist right to avoid a worse result. “Crushed” is the only word for what happened to Rutte’s Labor coalition partner: It will have nine seats in the new 150-member parliament, down from 38. Wilders’s PVV party increased its tally of seats from 15 to 20.
In a splintered parliamentary system with many small parties, it won’t be hard to exclude the PVV from the new coalition government—but this was no shattering defeat for the far-right.
More encouraging is that the Netherlands, unlike the UK, shows little interest in quitting the European Union. On the whole, strongly pro-EU parties did well in the election (often at Labor’s expense), and Wilders’s fervid opposition to the EU may actually have held him back.
Immigration remains the most troublesome issue. The Netherlands used to stand as a model for multiculturalism, but no longer.
It’s encouraging that Wilders didn’t do better. But he and his allies aren’t going away.