WASHINGTON -- U.S. housing starts jumped 18.6 percent in January, as builders ramped up construction of single-family houses to the fastest pace in eight months.
The Commerce Department said Friday that January groundbreakings occurred at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.23 million. Home construction rebounded sharply from December, when the annual rate was just 1.04 million.
The rebound after December's plunge fueled optimism among economists that new-home sales will improve in 2019. The low 3.8 percent unemployment rate has provided a stable economy that has increased interest from would-be buyers, but challenges from high prices and tight inventories have restricted sales.
Head winds also remain for developers, including elevated material prices and rising labor costs.
Analysts see the possibility for new construction to ease these pressures and increase sales.
"Given the underlying strength in overall housing demand, slow and steady growth in new supply will support a modest increase in sales," said Mike Fratantoni, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association.
The housing market was hurt for much of 2018 by rising mortgage rates, which made it costlier to purchase a home. But average rates have declined since early November and the average 30-year rate was 4.41 percent this week, providing a possible boost for homebuying this year.
Matthew Speakman, an economic analyst for the real estate company Zillow, said that housing might still look sluggish over the next few months, but the construction gains suggest that the outlook will eventually brighten.
"It was a difficult end to 2018, but builders appear primed for better days ahead," Speakman said.
Most of the new construction came from single-family houses, which were being built at the strongest rate since May 2018. Still, overall housing starts in January were slightly below the 2018 total of 1.24 million as the pace of apartment construction slowed.
Single-family starts jumped 25.1 percent, the biggest one-month gain since 1979, to 926,000. Starts for multifamily homes of five units or more, a category that tends to be volatile and includes apartment buildings and condominiums, rose 4 percent.
Permits for construction, an indicator of future activity, improved 1.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.35 million. The permits suggest additional apartment construction in the coming months, as that segment accounted for the gains. Single-family permits fell 2.1 percent in January to an annual rate of 812,000. Multifamily housing permits were up 4.8 percent.
Other reports have showed reason for optimism in housing at the start of 2019, as pending home sales rose by more than forecast in January and the outlook among homebuilders picked up.
Three of four regions posted gains in starts, led by a 58.5 percent rise in the Northeast that was the most since June 2017.
One sign that builders will stay busy in coming months: About 203,000 homes were authorized but not yet started in January, the most since May 2007.
The data have a wide margin of error, with a 90 percent chance that the headline figure was between an 8 percent drop and 45.2 percent gain. While responses were consistent with normal levels, the report said delays from the government shutdown may make it more difficult to determine exact start and completion dates.
Information for this article was contributed by Josh Boak of The Associated Press and by Katia Dmitrieva of Bloomberg News.
Business on 03/09/2019