Sally keeps forecasters guessing

Slow pace makes storm hard to track, raises flood fears

A man watches as rough surf overtakes Buffett Beach in Pascagoula, Miss., on Tuesday afternoon. The slow-moving Hurricane Sally is driving a tidal surge and rains toward communities along the Gulf Coast. More photos at arkansasonline.com/916hurricane/.
(AP/The Sun Herald/Alyssa Newton)
A man watches as rough surf overtakes Buffett Beach in Pascagoula, Miss., on Tuesday afternoon. The slow-moving Hurricane Sally is driving a tidal surge and rains toward communities along the Gulf Coast. More photos at arkansasonline.com/916hurricane/.
(AP/The Sun Herald/Alyssa Newton)

ORANGE BEACH, Ala. -- Hurricane Sally drifted Tuesday toward the northern Gulf Coast, threatening dangerous storm surge and relentless rainfall that prompted warnings of historic flooding as the storm was expected to hover in the area long after coming ashore.

"It's going to be a huge rainmaker," said Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist and meteorologist at Colorado State University. "It's not going to be pretty."

The National Hurricane Center expects Sally to remain a Category 1 hurricane, with top sustained winds of 80 mph when it makes landfall, which was expected late Tuesday or early today. The storm's sluggish pace made it harder to predict the timing and exactly where its center will strike, though it was expected to reach land near the Mississippi-Alabama state line.

[Video not showing up above? Click here to view » https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J278vO3-Tfo]

The hurricane's slow movement not only delayed landfall, but also exacerbated the threat of heavy rain and storm surge. Sally remained a dangerous storm Tuesday even after losing power, its fiercest winds having dropped considerably from a peak of 100 mph on Monday.

By late morning Tuesday, hurricane warnings stretched from east of Bay St. Louis, Miss., to Navarre, Fla. Rainfall of up to 20 inches was forecast near the coast. There was a chance the storm could also spawn tornadoes and dump isolated rain accumulations of 30 inches.

Two large casino boats broke loose Tuesday from a dock where they were undergoing construction work in Bayou La Batre, Ala. M.J. Bosarge, who lives near the shipyard, said at least one of the riverboats had done considerable damage to the dock.

Michael Thomas, an Orange Beach fishing guide, was outside securing boats and making other last-minute preparations. He estimated up to 5 inches of rain had fallen in as many hours.

A couple of miles away in Gulf Shores, Ala., waves crashed over the end of the long fishing pier at Gulf State Park. Some roads in the town already were covered with water.

Stacy Stewart, a senior specialist with the National Hurricane Center, said Tuesday that people should continue to take the storm seriously since "devastating" rainfall is expected in large areas. People could drown in the flooding, he said.

"This is going to be historic flooding along with the historic rainfall," Stewart said. "If people live near rivers, small streams and creeks, they need to evacuate and go somewhere else."

Donald Jones, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Louisiana, said Sally could unleash flooding similar to what Hurricane Harvey inflicted in 2017 when it swamped the Houston metropolitan area.

As rain grew heavier Tuesday, many businesses appeared to be closed at exits along the I-10 highway that runs parallel to the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida.

In Gulfport, Miss., white plastic bags hung over some gas station pumps to signal they were out of fuel. Along a bayou that extended inland from the Gulf, three shrimp boats were tied up as shrimpers and others tried to protect their boats from waves and storm surge. Most boat slips at Gulfport's marina were empty, and many businesses had metal storm shutters or plywood covering the windows.

In Alabama, officials closed the causeway to Dauphin Island and the commuter tunnel that runs beneath the Mobile River. An online video from Dauphin Island showed a few cars and SUVs stuck in a beachfront area, their tires sunk deep into wet sand.

[Gallery not loading above? Click here for more photos » arkansasonline.com/916hurricane/]

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey urged residents near Mobile Bay and low-lying areas near rivers to evacuate if conditions still permitted a safe escape. The National Hurricane Center predicted storm surge along Alabama's coast, including Mobile Bay, could reach 7 feet above ground.

"This is not worth risking your life," Ivey said during a news conference Tuesday.

After making landfall, Sally was forecast to cause flash floods and minor to moderate river flooding across inland portions of Mississippi, Alabama, northern Georgia and the western Carolinas through the rest of the week.

President Donald Trump issued emergency declarations for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on Monday, and tweeted that residents should listen to state and local leaders.

The threat to Louisiana was easing as officials in some areas reversed evacuation orders that had been issued for areas that had been feared to be a risk of flooding from Sally. In New Orleans, government offices and public school operations were scheduled to reopen today.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared an emergency in 13 counties as rain from Sally's outer bands pummeled the panhandle on Tuesday.

Information for this article was contributed by Jeff Martin, Russ Bynum, Sophia Tulp, Tamara Lush, Rebecca Santana and Kim Chandler of The Associated Press.

Waves crash near a pier, at Gulf State Park, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally is crawling toward the northern Gulf Coast at just 2 mph, a pace that's enabling the storm to gather huge amounts of water to eventually dump on land. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Waves crash near a pier, at Gulf State Park, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally is crawling toward the northern Gulf Coast at just 2 mph, a pace that's enabling the storm to gather huge amounts of water to eventually dump on land. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Fabian Barreto loads sandbags into his pickup truck, Monday, Sept. 14, 2020, in Gulfport, Miss. Barreto and his wife, Desi Barreto, live in a new home subdivision in Gulfport and their backyard easily floods. They hope the bags will keep water from flooding the house. (Alyssa Newton/The Sun Herald via AP)
Fabian Barreto loads sandbags into his pickup truck, Monday, Sept. 14, 2020, in Gulfport, Miss. Barreto and his wife, Desi Barreto, live in a new home subdivision in Gulfport and their backyard easily floods. They hope the bags will keep water from flooding the house. (Alyssa Newton/The Sun Herald via AP)
An empty vehicle sits in floodwaters in a driveway in Pascagoula, Miss., Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The low-lying neighborhood was overtaken by flooding from rains associated with Hurricane Sally. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)
An empty vehicle sits in floodwaters in a driveway in Pascagoula, Miss., Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The low-lying neighborhood was overtaken by flooding from rains associated with Hurricane Sally. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)
A man walks bear the gulf as Hurricane Sally moves in, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally, one of a record-tying five storms churning simultaneously in the Atlantic, closed in on the Gulf Coast on Monday with rapidly strengthening winds of at least 100 mph (161 kph) and the potential for up to 2 feet (0.6 meters) of rain that could bring severe flooding. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
A man walks bear the gulf as Hurricane Sally moves in, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally, one of a record-tying five storms churning simultaneously in the Atlantic, closed in on the Gulf Coast on Monday with rapidly strengthening winds of at least 100 mph (161 kph) and the potential for up to 2 feet (0.6 meters) of rain that could bring severe flooding. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Storm surge from Hurricane Sally overtakes the outside parking lot and the first floor of the Palace casino parking garage in Biloxi, Miss., on Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020.  The slow moving hurricane is driving a developing tidal surge and rains to a number of communities along the gulf coast. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)
Storm surge from Hurricane Sally overtakes the outside parking lot and the first floor of the Palace casino parking garage in Biloxi, Miss., on Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The slow moving hurricane is driving a developing tidal surge and rains to a number of communities along the gulf coast. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)
Sparce traffic moves across U.S. Highway 90 outside the Beau Rivage Casino in Biloxi, Miss., as Hurricane Sally slowly approaches the Mississippi Gulf Coast, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The Mississippi Gaming Commission closed all coast casinos Monday in advance of Hurricane Sally making landfall in Mississippi. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald, via AP)
Sparce traffic moves across U.S. Highway 90 outside the Beau Rivage Casino in Biloxi, Miss., as Hurricane Sally slowly approaches the Mississippi Gulf Coast, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The Mississippi Gaming Commission closed all coast casinos Monday in advance of Hurricane Sally making landfall in Mississippi. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald, via AP)
Waters from the Gulf of Mexico poor onto a local road, Monday, Sept. 14, 2020, in Waveland, Miss. Hurricane Sally, one of a record-tying five storms churning simultaneously in the Atlantic, closed in on the Gulf Coast on Monday with rapidly strengthening winds of at least 100 mph (161 kph) and the potential for up to 2 feet (0.6 meters) of rain that could bring severe flooding. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Waters from the Gulf of Mexico poor onto a local road, Monday, Sept. 14, 2020, in Waveland, Miss. Hurricane Sally, one of a record-tying five storms churning simultaneously in the Atlantic, closed in on the Gulf Coast on Monday with rapidly strengthening winds of at least 100 mph (161 kph) and the potential for up to 2 feet (0.6 meters) of rain that could bring severe flooding. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Courtney Watts, of Tuscaloosa, Ala., moves off the beach at Gulf State Park, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally is crawling toward the northern Gulf Coast at just 2 mph, a pace that's enabling the storm to gather huge amounts of water to eventually dump on land. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Courtney Watts, of Tuscaloosa, Ala., moves off the beach at Gulf State Park, Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Gulf Shores, Ala. Hurricane Sally is crawling toward the northern Gulf Coast at just 2 mph, a pace that's enabling the storm to gather huge amounts of water to eventually dump on land. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbrt)
Storm surge from Hurricane Sally overtakes the outside parking lot and the first floor of the Palace casino parking garage in Biloxi, Miss., on Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020.  The slow moving hurricane is driving a developing tidal surge and rains to a number of communities along the gulf coast. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)
Storm surge from Hurricane Sally overtakes the outside parking lot and the first floor of the Palace casino parking garage in Biloxi, Miss., on Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020. The slow moving hurricane is driving a developing tidal surge and rains to a number of communities along the gulf coast. (Lukas Flippo/The Sun Herald via AP)

Upcoming Events