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Rick Lee's Oaklawn selections and analysis

by Rick Lee | March 4, 2021 at 2:24 a.m.
FILE — Horses and jockeys break from the starting gate at Oaklawn Racing Casino Resort in Hot Springs. (Democrat-Gazette file photo)

LEE’S LOCK Southern Grayce in the eighth

BEST BET Joyful Cadence in the seventh

LONG SHOT Copley in the second

SUNDAY’S RESULTS 3-10 (30%)

MEET 40-138 (29%)

CONFIDENCE RATINGS

* * * * confident choice

* * * plenty to like

* * things to like

* educated guess

1 Purse $25,000, 1 1/16 miles, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $20,000

SPILLED PERFUME rallied to fifth in an encouraging debut sprinting. She is taking a slight drop and is bred to improve at route distances. AMELIA’S BONNET crossed the wire only a neck behind the top selection in her sprint tune-up, and she drew a favorable two-turn post position. DANZIG STAR was one-paced in her return from a long layoff. She is dropping into restricted company and owns competitive Beyer figures.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

2 Spilled Perfume Arrieta Barkley 3-1

1 Amelia’s Bonnet Gonzalez Gonzalez 5-1

11 Danzig Star Morales McBride 9-2

4 Thursday Morning Camacho Medina 15-1

9 Flat Out Gold Hamilton Hornsby 15-1

10 Tuesday FDe La Cruz Hornsby 8-1

7 Backgate Belle Torres Prather 7-2

8 Ella’s My Girl Roman Deatherage 15-1

6 Marquee Cowboy Harr Rhea 10-1

5 Tyne After Tyne Fletcher Fires 15-1

3 Caddo Queen Court Deatherage 15-1

2 Purse $32,500, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds who have never won two races, claiming $25,000

COPLEY raced close to a fast pace, on a day favoring late runners, in a third-place finish. He also is dropping in price and receives a positive rider change. BODE’S LIGHT earned the field’s fastest last-race Beyer figure in a determined maiden victory, but the race was run over a muddy track. SPOTTED BULL is dropping into a conditioned claiming race for the first time since a narrow loss at Remington Park.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

7 Copley Arrieta Holthus 8-1

8 Bode’s Light Morales Garcia 9-2

2 Spotted Bull Cabrera Calhoun 6-1

9 Payster Geroux Amoss 3-1

3 Eastside Cool Santana Stall 3-1

6 Flat Out Avenger Quinonez Trout 7-2

5 Jackman Mojica Broberg 12-1

4 Screen Star Wales Moysey 8-1

1 Perfect Mistake Thompson Dixon 20-1

3 Purse $31,500, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds, maiden claiming $30,000

AWESOME CHARGE was forwardly placed in a fast-paced maiden claiming sprint. He has recorded two solid subsequent works and figures difficult to beat at this lower level. SKYWAVE contested the pace from start to finish in a second-place debut, and note the winner rallied from far back. DISTRACTANDATTACK finished well in a third-place debut at Turfway, and he recorded a bullet 4-furlong work Feb. 26 at Oaklawn.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

4 Awesome Charge Harr Lukas 7-2

7 Skywave Cabrera Moquett 5-2

9 Distractandattack Tohill Hartman 9-2

10 Heroic Song Quinonez Von Hemel 8-1

1 Street Toll Arrieta Hollendorfer 5-1

8 King Henrik Bridgmohan Amoss 6-1

6 Holding Pattern Borel Koertgen 10-1

3 Big in the City Gonzalez Barkley 15-1

2 Bellamys Roan Bowen Westermann 30-1

5 Major Chance Wales Fires 30-1

4 Purse $45,000, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $40,000

TOWN CHAMP set a fast pace and held on well when caught late by the post-time favorite, and the horse-for-course deserves another chance at this lower price. VICE VERSA had a three-race winning streak stopped when second best in a route at Houston. The Robertino Diodoro trainee was a starter allowance winner last season at Oaklawn. IMPRESSED is a consistent sprinter who is a must-use in multi-horse wagers.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

2 Town Champ Bridgmohan Compton 5-1

4 Vice Versa Cohen Diodoro 5-2

8 Impressed Vazquez Mason 8-1

3 D’ Rapper Loveberry Villafranco 7-2

1 Madison’s Luna Garcia Bauer 20-1

6 Well Connected WDe La Cruz Martin 6-1

9 Gordy Florida Eramia Smith 4-1

7 Cyril’s Boy Canchari Robertson 12-1

5 Frolic More Cabrera Hawley 20-1

5 Purse $31,500, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $30,000

SMARTY’S ANGEL * * * has worked well since finishing sixth as a big favorite on opening day. She is dropping in class, and anything close to the race she ran at Keeneland wins this. RACHIE RACH has raced close to the lead in three consecutive third-place finishes, and she is dropping into a maiden-claiming race for the first time. DAIGLE is having blinkers removed after flashing excellent speed and retreating in her 2021 debut, and she did race competitively last season at Oaklawn.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

3 Smarty’s Angel Canchari Cates 5-1

11 Rachie Rach Thompson Dixon 5-2

13 Daigle Quinonez McKellar 10-1

12 Frankies Moonshine Bowen Holthus 3-1

7 Tallandlong Gonzalez Ortiz 15-1

5 Cash Light Cabrera Martin 15-1

1 Fast Sophia Torres Prather 8-1

4 Feminine Allure WDe La Cruz McBride 9-2

9 Cyber Sneaker Hamilton Mason 15-1

8 Very Spicy Harr Fires 12-1

10 No Direct Matches Morales Deville 30-1

2 Precious Tinkle Bridgmohan Barkley 30-1

6 Spot’s Maine Girl Fletcher Fires 30-1

14 Alittlebitofsmarty Court Deatherage 30-1

6 Purse $24,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up who have never won three races, claiming $10,000

PICK UP THE FONE is a speedy filly who is dropping from $50,000 to $10,000 for high-percentage trainer Robertino Diodoro. ABRAMAX has finished no worse than third in four consecutive trips to the post, and she is a threat if able to hold form for new connections. FRENCH CHARM is moving up a condition after a clear front-running victory, and she did record a sharp subsequent breeze.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

4 Pick Up the Fone Cohen Diodoro 5-2

3 Abramax Cabrera Shorter 8-1

5 French Charm Mojica McKnight 8-1

8 Awesome Indra Rocco Becker 7-2

11 Beauty Day Loveberry Villafranco 9-2

10 Summer Lovin Thompson Riecken 8-1

12 French Rose Arrieta Barkley 8-1

2 Midnight Karma Gonzalez Morse 10-1

9 Bobbie too Too Quinonez Swearingen 12-1

7 Sattersfield Hebert Williams 20-1

6 Julie Arkansas Fletcher Loy 30-1

1 Sheshed Morales Holthus 30-1

13 City Gone Country Wales Loy 30-1

7 Purse $86,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, maiden special weight

JOYFUL CADENCE * * * was pinned down on the rail while contesting a fast pace in a deceptive debut at Turfway, and she has always trained well on dirt surfaces. Moreover, she landed in an unusually soft maiden allowance field. MOTOWN GIRL finished a competitive third in a pair of sprint races at Churchill, and she may not have cared for a sloppy track when seventh best in her local debut. SHE’S XTREMELY HOT has not raced in 12 months. She was narrowly defeated in her career debut, but her best race will make her tough to beat.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

5 Joyful Cadence Morales Ortiz 5-1

7 Motown Girl Cohen Calhoun 5-2

3 She’s Xtremely Hot Canchari Roberton 8-1

2 Fudge Brownie Loveberry Robertson 6-1

6 Music App Quinonez Von Hemel 8-1

9 Villareggia Cabrera Matthews 7-2

8 Winning Walk Tohill Hartman 10-1

1 Blame the Red Cat Eramia Milligan 8-1

4 On My Own Thompson Vance 6-1

8 Purse $88,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-old fillies, allowance optional claiming

SOUTHERN GRAYCE * * followed a sharp career debut win at Churchill with a clear second-place allowance finish Jan. 24, which easily earned the field’s fastest Beyer figures. Trainer Brad Cox has been red-hot. AVA’S GRACE has not raced since finishing a non-threatening third in the Grade II Adirondack last summer at Saratoga, but her works have been fast and often. DANA’S BEAUTY showed talent as a 2-year-old, and she has moved to the powerful stable of trainer Mike Maker.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

2 Southern Grayce FDe La Cruz Cox 9-5

6 Ava’s Grace Cohen Diodoro 5-2

4 Dana’s Beauty Santana Maker 5-1

1 Ekati’s Hit Quinonez Trout 6-1

3 Exotic West Loveberry Catalano 6-1

5 Someone Said So Mojica Rosin 8-1

7 Parkin in the Rear Court Vance 8-1

9 Purse $28,500, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $16,000

RARE FORM * * * was a clear front-running winner at this same price at Churchill, and the graded stake-placed runner is the speed and class of the field. PAT DADDY overcame a slow start to win an off-the-turf sprint at Fair Grounds, and the in-form sprinter has won four of seven races at Oaklawn. SEVIER won for $15,000 only two races back at Ellis, and the Karl Broberg trainee is a three-time winner at Oaklawn and shows good recent works.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

7 Rare Form Cohen Diodoro 9-2

6 Pat Daddy Cabrera Barkley 8-1

3 Sevier Torres Broberg 8-1

11 Clear the Mine Vazquez Villafranco 4-1

12 Balandeen Rocco Becker 7-2

2 Gigging Tohill Hartman 5-1

4 Paddy O’Dini Loveberry Martin 12-1

1 Hidden Promise Santana Sadler 10-1

13 Alexandros Mojica Broberg 12-1

9 He’s So Zazzy WDe La Cruz Martin 12-1

8 Omen of Change Harr Cline 20-1

5 Undercover Lover Thompson Hewitt 15-1

10 Epic Arrieta Hollendorfer 20-1

EXOTIC POSSIBILITIES

The first race starts a daily double, and I’ll use my top three in the first. I will single my long-shot COPLEY in the second. The seventh race starts a Pick-3, and I recommend using JOYFUL CADENCE and MOTOWN GIRL. I’ll use SOUTHERN GRAYCE and AVA’S GRACE in the eighth, and I’ll finish the wager with my top three selections in the ninth.

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