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Rick Lee's Oaklawn selections and analysis

by Rick Lee | March 18, 2021 at 2:13 a.m.
FILE — Horses and jockeys break from the starting gate at Oaklawn Racing Casino Resort in Hot Springs. (Democrat-Gazette file photo)

LEE'S LOCK Rock Ridge in the second

BEST BET Sandy Sangria in the third

LONG SHOT Cherished in the eighth

SUNDAY'S RESULTS 3-9 (33.3%)

MEET 68-215 (31.7%)

CONFIDENCE RATINGS

* * * * confident choice

* * * plenty to like

* * things to like

* educated guess

1 Purse $28,000, 1 1/16 miles, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up who have never won three races, claiming $10,000

HENNY FLY * * is the controlling speed in the race, and she figures difficult to catch at this lower claiming price. INDAWIN was forwardly placed in consecutive two-turn wins at Remington, and she may not have cared for a sloppy track in her Oaklawn debut. SANTA ANA WINDS is another with a poor wet-track record, but she has been consistently competitive on a fast surface.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

4 Henny FlyEramiaVon Hemel2-1

5 IndawinTorresVillafranco3-1

6 Santa Ana WindsCourtDixon5-1

3 Midnight KarmaArrietaMorse4-1

7 SattersfieldHebertWilliams6-1

1 All in BronsonWDe La CruzDeatherage15-1

2 Julie ArkansasFletcherLoy15-1

8 City Gone CountryWalesLoy10-1

2 Purse $27,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, maiden claiming $10,000

ROCK RIDGE * * * * has finished second in a pair of maiden allowance races this winter, and he is dropping to the bottom of the local maiden ranks. He will be wearing blinkers for the fist time. GAINER raced close to the pace from start to finish in a useful route race. He is cutting back to a sprint and should be going strong inside the final furlong. SAMURAI SAINT finished fifth over a muddy track as an odds-on favorite, but he is another shortening up to a sprint and may rebound over dry footing.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

2 Rock RidgeArrietaAsmussen2-1

3 GainerCabreraMoquett7-2

1 Samurai SaintMojicaContreras5-1

4 That DudeBowenMilligan6-1

9 AxisWDe La CruzPuhl9-2

5 Pont PokerCamachoSoto15-1

6 HarryQuinonezDurham12-1

8 BeggarthystarWalesHewitt10-1

7 Moral StandardMoralesOrtiz12-1

3 Purse $39,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, Claiming $25,000

SANDY SANGRIA* * * was narrowly defeated by a post-time favorite in her return from a layoff. She is taking a drop in class and figures near the lead throughout. TAKE CHARGE ERICA is likely to be dictating the pace, and she will also appreciate moving from a wet to a fast surface. SHACKLEFORD COUNTY broke last on a muddy track in a disappointing first race of the meeting, but a return to her Kentucky form will give her a real chance to win.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

4 Sandy SangriaQuinonezRosin5-2

2 Take Charge EricaGarciaShorter8-1

1 Shackleford CountyVazquezCano5-1

6 Madison WayCabreraMartin9-2

7 Noble AlmaMoralesGonzalez3-1

3 Sunset Paula JoGonzalezVon Hemel4-1

5 Boathouse ViewTohillFrazee12-1

4 Purse $29,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $20,000

HAMAZING LACE * * was beaten only a neck, at the hands of a late-running winner, when making her 2021 debut on an afternoon that played tough for front-runners. RACHIE RACH has finished third in all three of her career races. She possesses early speed and is dropping into a maiden-claimer for the first time. TALLANDLONG finished second against similar in an encouraging first race, and trainer John Ortiz sports a high win percentage with second-time starters.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

10 Hamazing LaceHamiltonMason3-1

14 Rachie RachThompsonDixon2-1

13 TallandlongGonzalezOrtiz4-1

12 Courtney FayBorelSmith6-1

7 RichnessSantanaSwearingen4-1

8 EpworthArrietaMorse10-1

4 Princess StrategyCourtJackson10-1

5 Miss CheckmarkLoveberryMartin6-1

6 Morning ValentineMoralesSoto8-1

2 MarciamarciamarciaQuinonezMcKellar10-1

9 Moro MagicTohillHartman15-1

11 Red Rocket GirlCamachoMartin15-1

3 Sailaway and HideHarrRhea20-1

1 O.K. SocksMedinaGladd20-1

5 Purse $60,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $50,000

PIONEER SPIRIT * * won the 2020 Fifth Season at Oaklawn, and he is dropping into a high-priced claimer after 10 consecutive stake races. CHRIS AND DAVE was caught inside the final furlong in a sharp runner-up effort. The 14-time winner has competitive Beyer figures and strong connections. COAL TRUTH defeated $30,000 claimers by 6-widening lengths, and the sharp gelding scratched out of a stake Saturday in favor of this spot.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

1 Pioneer SpiritVazquezDiodoro9-5

5 Chris and DaveCohenDiodoro3-1

2 Coal TruthWDe La CruzCompton4-1

6 Laughing FoxSantanaAsmussen6-1

4 Easy ShotCabreraBarkley8-1

7 ArrivalGarciaMason8-1

3 CashanovaArrietaMartin8-1

6 Purse $29,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $20,000

COUVERTURE * * was forwardly placed in a third-place return from a lengthy layoff. She is taking a drop in class and keeps the leading rider. FANCY BLAZE has worked well since breaking a tad slow and rallying in her career debut. GOLD N SEXY is quick and was beaten only 2 lengths on a closer friendly track Feb. 5.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

6 CouvertureSantanaMoquett5-2

8 Fancy BlazeMoralesCalhoun5-1

5 Gold N SexyVazquezChleborad7-2

14 Fast SophiaTorresPrather20-1

9 Lady MondoroJohnsonHartlage10-1

11 Cyber AffairWDe La CruzMartin5-1

2 SkadiEramiaDurham8-1

13 Angel ArkieTohillMartin8-1

12 Wish for CandyHarrRhea8-1

1 Nebraska RedWalesWestermann15-1

3 Bonita's GoldMedinaJackson30-1

10 Ima Sure BetCamachoHewitt15-1

7 Five RiversLoveberryHornsby20-1

4 AlittlebitofsmartyCourtDeatherage30-1

7 Purse $105,000, 51/2 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance

CROWN JEWEL * * was caught in the final jumps in a tough-luck defeat in a return from a seven-month vacation. She was flattered when the third-place finisher won her next race. HENRYS DEAL has not raced since contesting the pace and tiring in an allowance race at Saratoga. But she fired big while winning her career debut, and she is working smartly for top connections. DIGGIN GOLD showed terrific early speed in a maiden victory, and she is lightly raced and eligible to improve.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

4 Crown JewelSantanaAsmussen8-5

5 Henrys DealCohenDiodoro7-2

3 Diggin GoldArrietaD'Amato7-2

7 Cynical GirlEvansRobertson5-1

2 Thelma and AnnieBorelBaker10-1

6 Break CurfewCabreraHiles5-1

1 JustatapinCamachoHewitt20-1

8 Purse $106,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

CHERISHED * * crossed the wire first in three consecutive allowance races at Remington, and the two-time winner at Oaklawn returns fresh for new trainer Robertino Diodoro. WILDWOOD'S BEAUTY finished second as an even-money favorite at two turns. She is back sprinting and her class may prevail. OCEAN BREEZE overcame a troubled trip to defeat an entry-level allowance field, and she was graded stake-placed last summer at Prairie Meadows.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

8 CherishedVazquezDiodoro12-1

6 Wildwood's BeautyArrietaBecker5-2

2 Ocean BreezeGonzalezCatalano7-2

4 Lady RocketGarciaCox3-1

3 Ready to RunawayCanchariRobertson8-1

7 AubergeSantanaStidham5-1

5 Sara SeaCabreraLukas10-1

1 Lexi On the MoveCohenDiodoro6-1

9 Purse $93,000, 1 1/16 miles, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden special weight

MO BETTA * * finished second in an unusually fast state-bred sprint. He has the foundation and pedigree to improve at the distance. SERBIAN SAILOR finished second in a two-turn maiden-allowance race at Prairie Meadows, and he is stretching out after two useful sprint races. MOON IN THE SKY has not raced since December, but he is a proven two-turn runner with competitive Beyer figures.

PP HORSEJOCKEYTRAINERODDS

9 Mo BettaTohillHartman3-1

2 Serbian SailorCabreraAshauer8-1

4 Moon in the SkySantanaLoy4-1

3 Dunraven PassWDe La CruzPuhl5-1

6 Kat's HitmanWalesHewitt15-1

7 Dinner at CrumpiesHamiltonHornsby8-1

10 Into OrbitQuinonezBarkley9-2

12 Risky SituationHarrCline8-1

8 Twisted DixieFDe La CruzCline15-1

11 Holding PatternBorelKoertgen20-1

1 Hoss J WThompsonDixon20-1

5 I Stan for LoveCourtMartin20-1

EXOTIC POSSIBILITIES

The second race starts a Pick-3 and has a single in ROCK RIDGE. The third race comes down to TAKE CHARGE ERICA and likely favorite SANDY SANGRIA. The fourth has a big field, and my top four need to be used. The sixth race starts a Pick-4, and using four or five runners is wise. The seventh is contentious, and four horses stand a chance at victory. The eighth race is another competitive race and spreading out is recommended. I can make a case for putting only MO BETTA on the ticket in the ninth. Those with deeper pockets may want to spread some.

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