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Rick Lee's Oaklawn selections and analysis

by Rick Lee | March 12, 2021 at 2:55 a.m.
FILE — Horses and jockeys break from the starting gate at Oaklawn Racing Casino Resort in Hot Springs. (Democrat-Gazette file photo)

LEE'S LOCK Areemaa in the fifth

BEST BET Miss Antioch in the sixth

LONG SHOT Beemie Award in the 10th


MEET 56-175 (32.0 %).

* * * * confident choice

* * * plenty to like

* * things to like

* educated guess

1 Purse $25,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, maiden claiming $20,000

* *FACTUAL raced close to the lead in a second-place return from a freshening. She is treated with Lasix for the first time, and new trainer Cipriano Contreras gets a red-hot rider. SOLEMN OATH has been forwardly placed in competitive two-turn races. She has competitive Beyer figures and may appreciate sprinting. GREAT IN RED has not raced in 11 months, but she has been working nicely for her return.


3 Factual;Arrieta;Contreras;4-1

8 Solemn Oath;Vazquez;Lukas;5-2

1 Great in Red;Harr;Cates;5-1

6 Playfulmisssamurai;Wales;Moysey;6-1

4 Super Steamy;FDe La Cruz;Miller;3-1

5 Little Sure Shot;Eramia;Von Hemel;20-1

2 O K Baby;WDe La Cruz;Puhl;6-1

7 Anotherinthefire;Morales;Deville;15-1

2 Purse $27,000, 1 mile, 4-year-olds and up, starter allowance

* *TASHKENT finished second, while 7 lengths clear of third, in an unusually fast $7,500 claiming race. Furthermore, he raced very well at a higher level last season at Oaklawn. ELITCH had to overcome a poor start in a deceptively good runner-up finish, and he represents the barn of leading trainer Steve Asmussen. WAGON BOSS has crossed the wire second best in back-to-back races. He owns competitive Beyer figures, and he switches from an apprentice to a leading rider.


6 Tashkent;Vazquez;Broberg;4-1

3 Elitch;Santana;Asmussen;4-1

5 Wagon Boss;Arrieta;Vance;3-1

1 Ike;Cabrera;Moquett;6-1

2 Hit the Ticket;Morales;McKnight;9-2

7 Dealin' Stelen;Mojica;Zito;10-1

4 Witch Doctor;Gonzalez;Morse;6-1

8 Gospel Abe;Cohen;Hollendorfer;10-1

3 Purse $25,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $20,000

* *ROLL DINERO ROLL faltered after flashing speed in a fast-paced and key race Jan. 24. He is dropping in class and wearing blinkers for his second start. THORNISH has finished in-the-money in three consecutive sprint races, and he is cutting back to his preferred distance after a useful route. MACHO ROCKET MAN showed little on a sloppy track in his one start last winter at Oaklawn, but he appears to be training well. He landed in a soft state-bred maiden-claimer.


7 Roll Dinero Roll;Quinonez;Von Hemel;8-1

2 Thornish;Santana;Moquett;4-1

9 Macho Rocket Man;Court;Martin;7-2

10 Jesse Jones;WDe La Cruz;Martin;9-2

8 Gentle Knight;Harr;Cline;10-1

4 Broadway Jerry;Torres;Prather;5-1

1 Stomping Hotrod;Gonzalez;Mason;6-1

6 Spirit Soul;Cabrera;Martin;10-1

3 My Little Tip;FDe La Cruz;Rhea;20-1

11 Awe Bird;Tohill;Martin;20-1

5 Unbridled Shoes;Hebert;Williams;30-1

4 Purse $24,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, claiming $10,000

* *TENTWELVEFOURTEEN encountered traffic trouble turning into the stretch in a third-place finish. He is dropping in class and stands an improved chance if the track is fast. ALL SHACKED UP finished second in a key starter allowance sprint on opening day, and he can be excused for a dull wet track route performance. HIDDEN RULER raced competitively at a higher level throughout 2020, but he is taking a suspicious drop in class for new trainer Genaro Garcia.


6 Tentwelvefourteen;Quinonez;Cline;7-2

5 All Shacked Up;Tohill;Hartman;6-1

1 Hidden Ruler;Bowen;Garcia;5-1

2 Replete;Cabrera;Matthews;3-1

8 Heritage Park;Mojica;Smith;4-1

7 Hurricane Jake;FDe La Cruz;Haran;6-1

1a Uncle Gregory;Morales;Garcia;5-1

9 Firehorn;Arrieta;Morse;10-1

4 Mine My Time;Rocco;Riecken;12-1

3 Baquero Flies;Vazquez;Lukas;30-1

5 Purse $23,000, 1 1/16 miles, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, maiden claiming $10,000

* * * *AREEMAA has been racing competitively at a much higher maiden classification while earning Beyer figures that are clearly fastest in this field. LAKE SENSE has been one-paced in a pair of sprint races, but she is bred to route and gets in light with an apprentice rider aboard. OMI TEN raced close to the pace in a third-place finish against similar, and she may have needed the race after a three-month layoff.


9 Areemaa;Arrieta;Contreras;5-2

6 Lake Sense;Morales;Van Berg;12-1

4 Omi Ten;Torres;Garcia;9-2

1a Miss Alpha Bella;Gonzalez;Chleborad;5-1

7 Lyricist;Cabrera;Matthews;7-2

1 Quiet Surprise;Medina;Jacquot;5-1

5 Ambitiously Placed;Tohill;Hartman;6-1

8 Filly Ray Cyrus;Rocco;Puhich;10-1

3 Dede's Trick;Thompson;Frazee;15-1

2 B Rewarding;Camacho;Rhea;15-1

6 Purse $89,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, allowance optional claiming

* * *MISS ANTIOCH easily defeated optional-claimers just two races back, and the speedy filly is spotted well after a competitive in-the-money finish in the Downthedustyroad. SEKANI finished two positions behind the top selection in the Downthedustyroad, and she is a local stake winner who will prefer a fast surface. EURO ME finished second behind the top selection in her 2021 debut, and she does keep the leading rider.


4 Miss Antioch;Eramia;Milligan;2-1

8 Sekani;Geroux;Cox;7-2

2 Euro Me;Santana;Loy;6-1

6 Proud Victoria;Cabrera;Moquett;7-2

3 Florida Bird;WDe La Cruz;Martin;6-1

7 Bettyann;Borel;Smith;8-1

1 Savedbyanangel;Torres;Prather;10-1

5 B's Lil' Bumblebee;Court;McKellar;12-1

7 Purse $31,500, 1 mile, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, maiden claiming $30,000

* *SHASTALOO finished third in a fast maiden-claiming race at Turfway, which was her first race on Lasix. She also finished second in her debut at Ellis Park. QUEENS GIFT set a moderate pace in a second-place finish at Churchill. She is dropping in price and is on Lasix for the first time. MAKING PROGRESS has recorded three consecutive in-the-money finishes, and a quick early pace will work in her late-running favor.


5 Shastaloo;Geroux;Cox;4-1

4 Queens Gift;Santana;Moquett;3-1

6 Making Progress;Talamo;Jones;4-1

9 Lofthouse;Eramia;Peitz;6-1

1 Jlohr Jan;Cohen;McKnight;6-1

2 Duchess Bubbles;Quinonez;Milligan;12-1

3 Fortuna Adiuvat;Cabrera;Lukas;10-1

7 Freedom Bound;Arrieta;Holthus;10-1

8 Super Cassidy;Gonzalez;Morse;6-1

8 Purse $30,500, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, starter allowance

* *KEEP YOUR DISTANCE sat behind an honest pace before drawing off to a 3-length victory at this same condition, and the 7-year-old mare may get the same trip. LIL MISS HOT MESS finished third behind the top selection on a muddy track. She is better on a fast surface, and she is also a good finisher in a race with plenty of early speed. JETS A GINNIN has won six of her last seven races. She possesses excellent early speed and picks up a leading rider.


5 Keep Your Distance;Cohen;Diodoro;3-1

7 Lil Miss Hot Mess;Morales;Vance;6-1

3 Jets a Ginnin;Arrieta;Becker;5-2

2 Kasserine Pass;Gonzalez;Green;8-1

8 Lay M Out;Santana;Morse;6-1

6 Just Fly;Cabrera;Hawley;5-1

1 Imaginary Music;Mojica;Broberg;6-1

4 Could You;WDe La Cruz;Puhl;12-1

9 Purse $89,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, allowance optional claiming

* * *K J'S NOBILITY is a multiple stake winner over this track, and he is dropping into a state-bred race after a strong performance against open rivals. BANDIT POINT finished second behind the top selection in the 2020 Nodouble, and he exits a second-place finish against open allowance runners. TEMPT FATE scored a 3-length front-running victory in a state-bred allowance Feb.5, which was a day that favored late-running horses.


4 K J's Nobility;Borel;Borel;2-1

2 Bandit Point;Harr;Cline;4-1

5 Tempt Fate;Geroux;Deville;9-2

3 Hoonani Road;Cohen;Diodoro;9-2

6 Man in the Can;Santana;Moquett;5-2

1 Destiny Way;Talamo;Deville;15-1

7 J.E.'s Handmedown;Arrieta;Lund;12-1

10 Purse $24,000, 5 1/2 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, claiming $10,000

* *BEEMIE AWARD finished no worse than second in his last four main track sprints while competing at a higher class level at Fairmont Park. He did win his 2020 debut last winter at Oaklawn. JERRYS PRIDENJOY raced poorly over a sloppy track in his seasonal debut, but several of his fast-track races from 2020 appear good enough to win. BEST YOU EVER SEEN is moving up in price after an improved second-place finish. Winning trainer Karl Broberg is due for some racing luck.


10 Beemie Award;FDe La Cruz;Cox;10-1

2 Jerrys Pridenjoy;Santana;Asmussen;9-2

3 Best You Ever Seen;Mojica;Broberg;7-2

5 Hubbadahubbadaboom;Loveberry;Martin;10-1

12 Kitchen Fire;Morales;McKnight;10-1

7 Wills Defence;Cabrera;Matthews;3-1

1 El Venue;Eramia;Morse;6-1

4 Hoof Prince;Arrieta;Hollendorfer;10-1

6 Louden's Gray;Fletcher;Loy;30-1

11 Impunity;Bowen;Garcia;15-1

9 Babadoook;Wales;Moysey;15-1

8 Therunawayrocket;Medina;Gladd;15-1

Exotic possibilities

The first race starts a Pick-5, and Factual and Solemn Oath hold a talent advantage. The second race is competitive, and spreading out is recommended. The third race can produce a big number and using multiple horses is wise. I like my top three selections in the fourth, and the fifth race has a single in Areemaa. The 10th is an attractive trifecta race with its large field. I'll put Beemie Award over six horses in the two and three hole.


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