2 CDC analyses show lower spikes in masked schools

In Arizona, those without mandate 3½ times as likely to see an outbreak

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention offered more evidence Friday that school mask requirements can help keep children healthy and in classrooms, showing lower spikes in pediatric coronavirus cases and fewer school outbreaks in places that require them.

In an analysis of 520 U.S. counties, the CDC found that pediatric cases rose more sharply in places without school mask requirements. In a separate report that looked at Arizona's two most populous counties, the agency found that schools without mask requirements were 3½ times as likely to experience an outbreak than schools with them.

Though polls show that a majority of parents support mask requirements -- and despite recommendations from pediatricians and the CDC -- schools remain divided over whether to implement them. Opponents of mask mandates say parents should get to decide whether their children wear them.

[DOCUMENT: Read the Tennessee governor's order on masks » arkansasonline.com/925govlee/]

The pandemic already has taken a toll on the new school year. In a third report, the CDC said that more than 900,000 students in 44 states had been affected by closures between Aug. 1 and mid-September. Many schools are contending with challenges on multiple fronts, including outbreaks that force staff members to quarantine and staff shortages that make it difficult to find replacements.

The CDC looked at pediatric case data for about 17% of U.S. counties and found that, on average, pediatric cases rose after schools reopened. But counties without mask requirements saw larger increases -- about 18 cases per 100,000 more -- than those with them. Among the counties the CDC studied, about 62% did not have school mask mandates.

Because the data was limited to so few counties, and because it reflected all pediatric cases -- and not just those of school-aged children -- the agency reported that "the results may not be generalizable."

Still, the agency said: "School mask requirements, along with other prevention strategies, including COVID-19 vaccination, are critical to reduce the spread of COVID-19 in schools."

There is abundant evidence supporting the efficacy of masks in reducing the spread of the coronavirus, including with children and within schools. In July, the CDC and the American Academy of Pediatrics recommended universal masking in schools to ward off the more contagious delta variant.

[DOCUMENT: Read the judge's reinstatement of a mask mandate for a Tennessee school district » arkansasonline.com/925greer/]

In North Carolina, researchers closely tracking 100 school districts with mask mandates from March to June found very little transmission in schools. A case study in Marin County, Calif., where an unvaccinated teacher who pulled down her mask to read to her class infected half of her students, provides evidence of the contrary.

But opposition to mask mandates is still strong, and the issue remains deeply polarizing in parts of the country.

BATTLES CONTINUE

In several states, GOP leadership has barred school districts from requiring masks, sparking court battles. School board meetings have become battlegrounds, drawing protesters and angry parents.

A federal judge Friday handed down a second blow to Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee's contentious order allowing parents to opt out of school mask requirements, ruling that Knox County schools must implement a mask mandate to help protect children with health problems.

[DOCUMENT: Read the superintendent's letter explaining the return of mandatory masks » arkansasonline.com/925knoxtn/]

U.S. District Judge J. Ronnie Greer's decision also blocks Lee's order from being implemented while the battle continues to move its way through court.

This is the second time in a week that Lee's order has been placed on pause as families and advocates across the state have filed a handful of lawsuits as virus case numbers spike in schools.

The lawsuit was filed by four families in Knox County who have children with medical conditions and are too young to qualify for vaccination. The suit alleges that Lee and the Knox County Board of Education have failed to protect their disabled children from the virus and hurt their ability to attend in-person classes by allowing others to opt out of a mask mandate.

Lee's legal team had fought to uphold his executive order by pointing out that Knox County's school board had voted against adopting a mask mandate at the beginning of the 2021-22 school year. The Republican's attorneys argued that "any time a state is enjoined by a court from effectuating statutes enacted by representatives of its people, it suffers a form of irreparable injury."

This week, the national associations representing school board members and superintendents issued a statement expressing concern over reports that its members were being harassed and threatened.

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"We are concerned with the increasing reports of our members -- school superintendents and school board members -- who are working to ensure a safe reopening of schools while addressing threats and violence," the statement said. "School leaders across the country are facing threats because they are simply trying to follow the health and scientific safety guidance issued by federal, state and local health policy experts."

The resurgence of the coronavirus has meant many students have been shuffling in and out of quarantine, or forced to return to online learning because of acute staff shortages. It has eroded hope that this year would represent a turning point for pandemic schooling, which for many has been chaotic, isolating and inadequate.

The CDC's analyses are the first to look at covid in schools in the era of the delta variant, which has proved to be more contagious than its predecessors and driven pediatric infections to record highs.

The agency is also is the first to compare schools with mask mandates to schools without them. Most research has focused on the former.

Danny Benjamin is a pediatrics professor at Duke University who co-led the North Carolina study. He said the new CDC report, despite its limitations, represents "a meaningful contribution" to the body of research.

"It's the first publication with the delta variant in American schools that compares schools with and without a mask policy," Benjamin said.

But he added that the question of whether students should wear masks in schools should be settled by now.

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"To me, the question as a researcher is answered," Benjamin said.

Emily Oster, a Brown University economics professor, has spent the duration of the pandemic collecting and analyzing school data. She was not confident that the new data would convince those who do not believe in masks.

"For the people that don't support mask mandates in schools, they won't be convinced by this," Oster said. "There is such polarization."

Information for this article was contributed by Moriah Balingit of The Washington Post; and by Kimberlee Kruesi and Jonathan Mattise of The Associated Press.

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