Inflation fight saps world’s markets

Stocks tumbled on Wall Street and across European markets Thursday as investors grew increasingly concerned the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks are willing to risk a recession to bring down inflation.

The S&P 500 fell 2.5%, with more than 90% of stocks in the benchmark index closing in the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.2%, and the Nasdaq composite lost 3.2%. The broad slide erased all the weekly gains for the major indexes. European stocks fell sharply, with Germany's DAX dropping 3.3%.

The wave of selling came as central banks in Europe raised interest rates a day after the Fed lifted its key rate, emphasizing that interest rates will need to go higher than previously expected to tame inflation.

"It's this coordinated central bank tightening -- stocks tend to not do well in that environment," said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at All Star Charts.

In the United States, the market's losses were widespread, although technology stocks were the biggest weight on the S&P 500. The benchmark index fell 99.57 points to 3,895.75.

The Dow slid 764.13 points to 33,202.22, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 360.36 points to 10,810.53. Small company stocks also fell. The Russell 2000 index slid 45.85 points, or 2.5%, to close at 1,774.61.

The Fed raised its short-term interest rate by half a percentage point on Wednesday, its seventh increase this year. Central banks in Europe followed suit Thursday, with the European Central Bank, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank each raising their main lending rate by a half-point Thursday.

Although the Fed is slowing the pace of its rate increases, the central bank signaled it expects rates to be higher over the coming few years than officials had previously indicated. That disappointed investors who hoped recent signs that inflation is easing would have persuaded the Fed to take some pressure off the brakes it's applying to the U.S. economy.

The federal funds rate stands at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, the highest level in 15 years. Fed policymakers forecast that the central bank's rate will reach a range of 5% to 5.25% by the end of 2023. Their forecast doesn't call for a rate cut before 2024.

The yield on the two-year Treasury, which closely tracks expectations for Fed moves, rose to 4.24% from 4.21% late Wednesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences mortgage rates, slipped to 3.45% from 3.48%.

The three-month Treasury yield slipped to 4.31% but remains above that of the 10-year Treasury. That's known as an inversion and considered a strong warning that the economy is poised for a recession.

"The (stock) market's reaction is now factoring in a recession and rejecting the possibility of the 'soft/softish' landing" that Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised in a speech last month, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial.

The prospect of more Fed rate increases have heightened Wall Street's worries about how company earnings will fare in a recession, Delwiche said.

"(Inflation) has peaked, it will peak, it did peak, whatever, that's not the story," he said. "The story now is how does the economy hold up? How do earnings hold up?"

The U.S. central bank has been fighting to lower inflation at the same time that pockets of the economy, including employment and consumer spending, remain strong. That has made it more difficult to rein in high prices on everything from food to clothing.

On Thursday, the Labor Department reported the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell last week, a sign the labor market remains strong. Meanwhile, another U.S. report showed that retail sales fell in November. That pullback followed a sharp rise in spending in October.

Like the Fed, central bank officials in Europe said inflation is not yet corralled and that more rate increases are coming. "We are in for a long game," European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said at a news conference Thursday.

Information for this report was contributed by Elaine Kurtenbach and Matt Ott of The Associated Press.

Upcoming Events