Analysis wary on bank-bill element

Cutting reserves viewed as thorny

WASHINGTON -- A bipartisan Senate bill quickly moving toward passage could allow two of the nation's biggest banks to reduce the amount of money they must keep on hand as a buffer against collapse by a collective $30 billion, an internal analysis by a top banking regulator has found.

That reduction in capital could weaken one of the safeguards Congress helped put in place after the 2008 financial crisis, some banking experts say.

The analysis by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., a government agency that helps oversee the nation's banking system, found that JPMorgan, which has $2.6 trillion in assets, could lower its required capital stockpile by $21.4 billion, if federal regulators decide the law applies to it. Citigroup, which has $1.9 trillion in assets, could reduce its capital position by $8.6 billion.

The report comes as the Senate is weighing legislation to scale back banking regulations passed as part of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law, which was forged in response to the 2008 crisis. The bill cleared a procedural Senate hurdle this week with support from all voting Republicans and 17 senators in the Democratic caucus, suggesting the chamber eventually will pass it, likely next week.

Proponents say the bill reduces regulatory burdens for midsize banks that don't pose a risk to the financial system, but liberal Democrats, the Congressional Budget Office, and some banking experts have said it could expose two of the biggest financial firms to new risks. That's because it contains language that would allow regulators reduce how much capital some banks are required to hold.

Banking experts widely agree that by holding substantial amount of capital in recent years, banks have been less vulnerable to the type of crisis that nearly toppled the world financial system a decade ago. But there's disagreement on Capitol Hill and among experts about whether the Senate legislation could free JPMorgan and Citigroup to hold less capital. Defenders of the bill, and even some of its opponents, say JPMorgan and Citigroup would not be subject to lower capital requirements even if the bill passes.

At issue is a special capital surcharge imposed by regulators on banks holding more than $250 billion in assets. For every dollar of assets they have on their balance sheets, these banks are required to keep an offsetting percentage in capital.

The Senate bill would allow banks not to count certain safe assets in that ratio if the bank was determined to be "predominantly engaged" in custodian banking. Three banks -- Bank of New York Mellon, State Street, and the Northern Trust Corp. -- would be mainly affected by this provision.

These banks play a special role in the financial system, where they primarily hold on to assets on behalf of financial institutions and do not engage in either trading activities of their own or provide services to ordinary consumers. Some experts believe that they can be subject to less rigorous rules.

JPMorgan and Citigroup, though they have much broader businesses, also take part in custodial banking activities and as a result also could argue that they should benefit from the new rules, as critics of the bill fear.

Ultimately, the decision on how to enforce the new law is expected to fall to the nation's banking regulators -- the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the FDIC.

Earlier this week, the Congressional Budget Office gave the two Wall Street giants even odds of getting regulatory approval to reduce their capital if the legislation passes. Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., proposed an amendment to the bill on the Senate floor Thursday to make clear only custodial banks would not benefit from the new capital requirements.

The FDIC report was based on the premise that JPMorgan and Citigroup would be allowed to reduce their capital, but the agency was not making any conclusion about whether they would or should be.

"It's a significant reduction in capital for banks that are highly systemic. Why do we want to do that?" said Sheila Bair, who served as chairman of the FDIC under former presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama. Bair believes it is probable JPMorgan and Citigroup qualify for the exemption. "When you get into a downturn, you need your banks to keep functioning. Highly leveraged banks -- banks overburdened with debt themselves -- will pull back, and that will make the next recession much, much worse."

Some experts fear the legislation could be only the beginning of relaxed capital standards for big banks. "It's a very slippery slope," Bair said.

Paul Volcker, who served as chairman of the Fed for nearly a decade, also told the Senate Banking Committee in a letter that the new capital requirements "would put Congress under pressure to expand the exclusion."

"If this applies to JPMorgan, it would allow them to fund themselves with a lot fewer resources to handle a crisis by allowing them to take on far more risky debt," said Mike Konczal, a banking expert at the Roosevelt Institute, a left-of-center think-tank. "It would allow them to jack up their profits in short term but put everyone else at risk because they'd have less resources to handle a crisis in the long run."

The FDIC analysis shows the required capital surcharge for JPMorgan, currently $159.7 billion, would decline to $138.2 billion, or 13.4 percent, if the bank were granted an exemption. Citigroup, meanwhile, would see its capital surcharge decline from $121.1 billion to $112.5 billion, or 7.1 percent.

Information for this article was contributed by Renae Merle and Erica Werner of The Washington Post.

Business on 03/10/2018

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