Rick Lee's Oaklawn picks and analysis

LEE'S LOCK Vertical Oak in the eighth

BEST BET Holiday Mischief in the third

LONG SHOT Mineyerownmalone in the fourth

FRIDAY'S RESULTS 3-9 (33.3 percent)

MEET 3-9 (33.3 percent)

****confident choice

***plenty to like

**things to like

*educated guess

1 Purse $23,000, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up who have never won two races, claiming $16,000

**IT IS DEJAVU is shipping from Kentucky after three consecutive narrow defeats, and he picks up the second-leading rider from 2018 in David Cabrera. GOLDEN DRILLER defeated state-bred maiden allowance rivals at Remington. He is dropping in class and shows some swift breezes since arriving in Hot Springs. R H SMOAKEM won a fast maiden-claiming race at Turf Paradise, which has produced three next-out winners, legitimizing the high Beyer figure.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

6 It Is Dejavu;Cabrera;Ortiz;7-2

8 Golden Driller;Canchari;Broberg;5-1

13 R H Smoakem;Mojica;Diodoro;15-1

11 Alexandros;Santana;Asmussen;3-1

4 Miller Man;Fuentes;Lozano;8-1

14 Powerful Thirst;Cohen;Diodoro;6-1

12 Perfect Dream;Rodriguez;Prather;20-1

5 Wolf Strike;Sanjur;Puhl;15-1

1 Big Al;Elliott;Williamson;8-1

7 Ludlum;Vazquez;Leonard;12-1

3 Out of Hydeing;De La Cruz;Cristel;20-1

10 Nicky Numbers;Valdivia;Mullins;12-1

9 Hamazingly Rich;Roman;Gonzalez;20-1

2 C H Jay;Riquelme;Loy;20-1

2 Purse $22,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, maiden claiming $16,000

***TEDDY BEAR finished third at a higher maiden classification in his debut at Del Mar, and subsequent bullet works at Del Mar and Louisiana Downs suggest he is ready to win for new and winning connections. FAULT LINE lost a late lead in each of his past two races at Remington, and the consistent gelding switches to top rider Ricardo Santana Jr. REVERSALOFFORTUNE finished third in his past three races at Hawthorne while competing in maiden allowance races.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

5 Teddy Bear;Cohen;Diodoro;3-1

3 Fault Line;Santana;Asmussen;4-1

7 Reversaloffortune;Elliott;Cristel;5-1

6 Tempo Seeker;Mojica;McKnight;6-1

14 Baysider;Canchari;Anderson;8-1

13 Strong Current;Cabrera;Sharp;8-1

1 Tap Show;Eramia;Von Hemel;10-1

11 Casa de Luz;Birzer;Smith;6-1

10 Harlan's Vador;Hill;Kordenbrock;20-1

9 Rickhouse;Johnson;Hartlage;12-1

12 Rapid Assent;Fuentes;Holthus;15-1

8 Oh So Tall;Bridgmohan;Mason;20-1

2 Midland;Lara;Morse;15-1

4 Calculating King;Richard;Petalino;30-1

3 Purse $22,000, 1 mile, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $10,000

***HOLIDAY MISCHIEF ran a pair of big races last summer under the care of today's trainer Robertino Diodoro, who claimed the veteran back at Remington Park and has him spotted to win in a $10,000 claimer. MR. TICKLE has been on the sidelines since he was claimed in March at Fair Grounds, but he seems to be the most talented runner and trainer Karl Broberg wins at a solid percentage with fresh horses. TREASURY BILL is back at a competitive level and on a preferred surface after a race at Turfway, and the presence of a top rider tips positive trainer intentions.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

2 Holiday Mischief;Mojica;Diodoro;7-2

8 Mr. Tickle;Cohen;Broberg;5-2

7 Treasury Bill;Cabrera;Contreras;12-1

6 Get That Box;Birzer;Smith;15-1

4 Hyper Drive;Rodriguez;Caldwell;10-1

9 Bold Chrome;McMahon;Lozano;8-1

11 Promising Shoes;Vazquez;Villafranco;12-1

5 Solar Maximus;Fuentes;Quartarolo;10-1

10 Valentine Street;Eramia;Pish;10-1

1 Light Bound Bid;Riquelme;Loy;15-1

13 Herbie;Lara;Robertson;20-1

3 Aviator Parks;Thompson;Vance;15-1

12 Arch Revenge;De La Cruz;Garcia;20-1

4 Purse $26,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, starter allowance

**MINEYEROWNMALONE won a pair of starter allowance races in 2018, including a decisive victory at Oaklawn, and having his blinkers removed appears to be a positive move based on past performances. STREET TRUST proved determined while winning a second-level allowance route at Remington. He is eligible for this race due to a 12-length romp in a $10,000 maiden-claimer at Ellis. ABOVE BOARD had a three-race winning streak snapped when overmatch at LRC, and the recent winner at Del Mar and Santa Anita is a logical contender.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

7 Mineyerownmalone;Elliott;Vance;8-1

13 Street Trust;Santana;Asmussen;5-2

10 Above Board;Cohen;Diodoro;7-2

4 Doctor Lee;McMahon;Broberg;6-1

1 Tres Equis;Eramia;Shorter;5-1

14 Dapper Jack;Vazquez;Villafranco;4-1

6 Yes I See;Cabrera;Kordenbrock;6-1

11 Cool Catomine;Mojica;McKnight;8-1

8 Big Dinner;Valdivia;Williamson;15-1

3 The Rouge Diesel;Court;Cox;15-1

2 Fulkerson;Lara;Matthews;12-1

5 Marine Pilot;Birzer;Chleborad;15-1

9 Mias Moonbeam;Johnson;Hartlage;15-1

12 Tachi;Fuentes;Ortiz;12-1

5 Purse $79,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

**SPECIAL RELATIVITY was beaten by only a head at this level two races back at Belmont. She sports a winning record and is properly spotted after taking on stake rivals on a wet track at Laurel. UPSET BREWING defeated entry-level allowance rivals by 5-widening lengths at Fair Grounds, and she recorded a recent bullet workout after running in a turf-sprint stake Jan. 5. CHAUNCEY is a graded stake-placed sprinter with top connections, and her best race will make her difficult to beat.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

5 Special Relativity;Cohen;Diodoro;7-2

14 Upset Brewing;Morales;Bradley;4-1

13 Chauncey;Santana;Asmussen;3-1

7 Keep Your Distance;Cabrera;Kordenbrock;6-1

12 Ascot Day;Vazquez;Peitz;5-1

9 Shanghai Tariff;De La Cruz;DiVito;9-2

6 Always Believe;Morales;Lauer;10-1

1 Fairwayngreen;Rodriguez;Loy;10-1

3 California Breeze;Wethey;Villafranco;10-1

11 Infuse;Santana;Hartman;10-1

8 Ms Fifty First St.;Eramia;Cates;8-1

10 Honor With Pride;De La Cruz;Contreras;15-1

2 Jeri Bella;Court;Fires;15-1

4 Foxy Mischief;Canchari;Hiles;30-1

6 Purse $80,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

**LONE ROCK showed determination while winning a $75,000 stake at Remington, and runner-up Harlan Punch came back to win a stake at Fair Grounds. He is also unbeaten in three races with today's rider aboard. ONE LINER impressively won the 2017 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn, and the lightly raced 5-year-old returns to the races fresh for new trainer Steve Asmussen. FLAMEAWAY is a multiple graded stake winner from the powerful stable of trainer Mark Casse. He possesses good early speed and appears to be working smartly at Fair Grounds.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

6 Lone Rock;Canchari;Van Meter;6-1

8 One Liner;Santana;Asmussen;3-1

11 Flameaway;Elliott;Casse;7-2

4 Dazzling Gem;De La Cruz;Cox;6-1

7 Remembering Rita;Birzer;Anderson;6-1

3 M G Warrior;Lanerie;Stewart;12-1

1 Chris and Dave;Cohen;Diodoro;6-1

10 Rated R Superstar;De La Cruz;Contreras;15-1

5 Limation;Vazquez;Asmussen;15-1

1a Secret Passage;Mojica;Diodoro;6-1

9 Casino Star;Morales;Van Berg;20-1

2 Cake Pop;Cabrera;Quartarolo;30-1

7 Purse $78,000, 1 mile, 3-year-olds, allowance optional claiming

***JERSEY AGENDA showed sprinters speed in a 4-length maiden victory at Churchill, and he has recorded two 5-furlong bullet works at Oaklawn. He is bred to carry his speed at least this far. POLE SETTER finished third in the Grade III Iroquois at Churchill Downs. The consistent colt has proven two-turn ability and is a must use in gimmick wagers. B P ROCKET broke his maiden in a one-turn mile at Churchill, and the lightly raced and quickly improving colt has worked very well at Oaklawn.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

5 Jersey Agenda;Santana;Asmussen;5-2

10 Pole Setter;De La Cruz;Cox;3-1

8 B P Rocket;Canchari;Van Meter;5-1

7 Dorrance;Cabrera;Trout;12-1

9 Jack Van Berg;Court;Van Berg;6-1

3 Deano;Elliott;Hartman;12-1

2 Dobbins G;Rodriguez;Lozano;15-1

11 Alliterative;Vazquez;Asmussen;10-1

6 Mr Midtown;Lara;Morse;20-1

12 Mystic Link;Hill;Stuart;15-1

4 El Ahijado;Thompson;Guerrero;30-1

1 Patch's Lugh;Sanjur;Campbell;30-1

8 The American Beauty. Purse $100,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up

***VERTICAL OAK is a graded stake-winning sprinter with earnings exceeding $770,000. She has won nine of 17 at this distance, and she should be stalking a strong pace. SISTER NATION just missed a victory in a fast third-level allowance sprint at Churchill. Her ability to finish suits her well in a field expected to carve out rapid fractions. JESSICA KRUPNICK is battle tested in graded stake races at Woodbine, and she has taken to the surface based on swift local breezes.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

5 Vertical Oak;Santana;Asmussen;7-5

10 Sister Nation;Vazquez;Asmussen;6-1

8 Jessica Krupnick;Cohen;McKnight;5-1

4 Amy's Challenge;Canchari;Robertson;4-1

3 Divine Queen;Borel;Bradley;10-1

9 Swing and Sway;Cabrera;Moquett;10-1

6 Cathedral Reader;Lanerie;Stewart;15-1

2 Student Body;Morales;Davis;12-1

1 Proper Discretion;Rodriguez;Quartarolo;30-1

7 Cowgirl Callie;Ulloa;Bahena;50-1

9 Purse $77,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds, maiden special weight

**ONCEWEWEREBROTHERS finished second behind a fast and talented winner in an encouraging career debut at Churchill. His subsequent works are strong and he picks up a leading rider. WARRIOR'S CHARGE broke last before rallying to third behind the top selection in his debut, and he has a license to turn the table with a better start. JUSTICE OF WAR tired through the stretch after contesting a fast early pace in his debut last summer at Saratoga, and he figures stronger and faster as a three-year-old.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

4 Oncewewerebrothers;Cabrera;DiVito;4-1

9 Warrior's Charge;De La Cruz;Cox;7-2

1 Justice of War;Santana;Asmussen;6-1

6 I'm Busy;Cohen;Diodoro;8-1

7 Zoomer;Eramia;Peitz;8-1

3 Market King;Valdivia;Lukas;5-1

2x Higher Authority;Loveberry;Sharp;10-1

12 Nifty;Borel;Jones;8-1

5 Replete;Lanerie;Stewart;30-1

11 Grenation;Birzer;Chleborad;20-1

2 Breaking News;Loveberry;Sharp;20-1

1a Cabot;Vazquez;Moquett;6-1

10 Roughin the City;Cannon;Deegan;15-1

8 Half Ours to Keep;Quinonez;Von Hemel;30-1

EXOTIC POSSIBILITIES

The 50-cent Pick-4 starting in the first race is loaded with full fields making for a potentially large payoff. The first race has four strong contenders, assuming R H Smoakem draws in. The second race may be covered using only Fault Line and Teddy Bear. The third race appears to be a three-horse race, and the fourth will also take multiple horses to provide a legitimate chance to win. Lone Rock appears an overlay in the sixth race, and keying him in trifecta wagers may yield a sizable profit.

Sports on 01/26/2019

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